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TL;DR

The Bias-Variance Tradeoff: A canonical quantitative trading interview question at intermediate difficulty. Commonly asked at Two Sigma, Citadel, DE Shaw, Point72, WorldQuant.

By Valenke Exam Prep Team·Last updated 2026-06-01
intermediateStatistical Inference & Estimation

The Bias-Variance Tradeoff

Asked at: Two Sigma, Citadel, DE Shaw, Point72, WorldQuant

Problem
You observe X1,,XnN(μ,σ2)X_1, \ldots, X_n \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2) and want to estimate σ2\sigma^2. Consider two estimators: - σ^MLE2=1ni=1n(XiXˉ)2\hat{\sigma}^2_{\text{MLE}} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n}(X_i - \bar{X})^2 - S2=1n1i=1n(XiXˉ)2S^2 = \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n}(X_i - \bar{X})^2 (a) Show that σ^MLE2\hat{\sigma}^2_{\text{MLE}} is biased. What is its bias? (b) Show that S2S^2 is unbiased. (c) Compute the MSE of both estimators. Which one has lower MSE? (d) Why might you prefer a biased estimator?

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